According to the Fix’s electoral vote tracker -- an amazing tool that marries Real Clear Politics polling averages in swing states with the electoral map -- if the election were held today, Hillary Clinton would win 341 electoral votes to Donald Trump’s 197.
Those totals reflect the fact that Trump’s always-narrow path to 270 electoral votes has become a footpath — at best — over the past two weeks or so, dating back to the first presidential debate Sept. 26. Trump has been battered over that time by bad reviews of his debate showings as well as the revelations of lewd sexual talk in a 2005 hot-mic video. His poll numbers have taken a commensurate hit — both nationally and in swing states. That hit is reflected in our weekly update of the Fix electoral map.